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Predicting How the NFL Divides Super Wild Card Weekend Between NBC, ESPN, FOX, and CBS

Obviously, there is seeding still involved, and matchups could change. So I’m doing this as the playoff records stand.

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NFL

Since I was a kid, I’ve always been fascinated with how the networks schedule playoff games. Especially the juxtaposition it puts leagues in when two teams from the same market are playing. For instance, in 1985, when only 10 teams made the playoffs, the New York Giants and New York Jets had to play their NFL Wild Card games on Saturday and Sunday. During those years, it was usually played on the same day. Since both New York teams shared the same stadium and had home field, NBC had the Saturday game between the Patriots and Jets, while the Giants and 49ers were on Sunday on CBS.

That brings us to 2024, and the upcoming NFL Super Wild Card Weekend, which is many more network mouths to feed than there were in 1985.

Since the NFL expanded to 14 teams in the postseason, it created “Super Wild Card Weekend” with the games spanning three days, rather than two. Here are the things locked in network-wise with the first weekend of the NFL postseason.

“Super Wild Card Weekend”

  • NBC/Peacock will air two games on Saturday, and a Sunday night playoff game. The 2nd game on Saturday will air exclusively on Peacock, similar to the December 23rd Bills-Chargers game.
  • Monday night will be an ESPN/ABC game which makes sense since they do Monday Night Football, it will be the last Monday night game of the year
  • Now with NBC/Peacock having 3 games, every other network will have one. This means FOX and CBS will duel for the Sunday afternoon spots.

So with one week to go in the NFL regular season, I figured I would take my time and predict where the games will be for Super Wild Card Weekend.

Obviously, there is seeding still involved, and matchups could change. So I’m doing this as the playoff records stand. Let’s start with Saturday.

Saturday – January 13

NBC has both games, but as anyone who listens to The Bill Simmons Podcast knows the earliest game on Sunday is known as the “Shaky’s Bowl” where Simmons and his group have their fantasy football dinner at a pizza establishment in LA. For me, this was always the Brent Musburger & Dick Vermeil game, when ABC would give their number one college football team the chance to call a playoff game during the 1990s.

Similarly, Ian Eagle, Todd Blackledge, and Kathryn Tappen, NBC’s top college football team will get a chance to call this game. While the Chargers and Jaguars were the primetime game last year on Super Wild Card Saturday, I think the Cleveland Browns — who are locked into the #5 seed — will play in this game against the AFC South winner. Jacksonville will be the home team if they win Sunday against Tennessee. But the Colts and Texans winner could sneak in, if they win and Mike Vrabel’s group pull off the upset.

The reason for these two teams? Usually, the Saturday afternoon game is viewed as the one with the least national appeal. If you go back to last season, the NFL decided Seahawks-49ers was the worst national appeal matchup, and put the Chargers and Jaguars in primetime (maybe the LA market was a small factor)

Speaking of the primetime game, this is where the Lions come in. And it’s only because the other options. On Jimmy Traina’s podcast, the NFL’s VP of Broadcast Planning Mike North, mentioned a lot of factors go into flex scheduling. I’d assume the same case for playoff games.

NBC has two more games, ABC/ESPN, CBS, and FOX has one main game. So you still want to give those networks that aren’t airing multiple games, a great game. Since CBS has one game, they will air an AFC game, in 2021 and 2022 they aired an NFC Playoff game, simply because they paid extra during those years for the 4:45 Sunday window.

Right now the Cowboys and Eagles will be playing a game during Super Wild Card Weekend, with the 49ers clinching the 1 seed. The NFC East loser is locked in as the #5 seed, while the winner likely gets the #2 seed unless both lose and Detroit wins. Let’s assume at least one of the NFC East teams wins and is a #2 seed. It means the NFC South winner will play either Dallas or Philly at home. While the NFC East winner could be playing Green Bay or Seattle. I think FOX and/or ABC/ESPN will get those two teams. But NBCUniversal would like to sell a juicy matchup for its Peacock exclusive game.

I figure with Peacock doing the game exclusively, and a juicy storyline of two guys who were traded for each other, opposing each other in the playoffs, Jared Goff of the Lions facing Matthew Stafford and the Rams. Stafford, returning to where he essentially grew up as an NFL star. Great storyline, worth that Saturday window.

Sunday – January 14

Sunday night’s game between the Dolphins and Bills can throw a wrench in the scheduling depending on how it plays out. The NFL likes to announce the playoff schedule during the Sunday Night game. But this time, they may wait until after or even Monday morning.

Why? Well if the Dolphins hold serve and win the division, they will likely face the AFC South loser or the Steelers. While Buffalo would head to KC, again, and face Patrick Mahomes again. While this reeks of Nantz, Romo, and Wolfson, I could see them slide this to Sunday night, and give it to Tirico, Collinsworth and, Stark.

Therefore, and this is only if the Dolphins win this Sunday, 1 PM on CBS could see #7 seed vs. the Dolphins in Miami. 8:20 PM on NBC could feature Bills vs Chiefs. If it’s Dolphins/Chiefs, it’s still juicy and worthy of being the Sunday night game, #7 seed at Buffalo, was the same matchup CBS got in the early window last season.

So the 4:45 FOX game is interesting. Last year, the Monday night game was Tom Brady’s Buccaneers hosting the Dallas Cowboys. That match-up could happen again, although the Saints and Falcons are also still alive. However, Dallas is a win-and-clinch possibility on Sunday, so they can host a playoff game. So I’m saying the NFC East Winner will be the 4:45 FOX game, the loser will play on Monday Night.

Monday – January 15

One observation: This year is the first season ESPN/ABC will also get a divisional playoff game. Essentially, what the league and networks have done, is the big boys — those who own a conference package (FOX and CBS) — get the best matchups during Divisional weekend, while ESPN/ABC & NBC, get treated as second-class citizens. So would the NFL give Disney a better matchup during Super Wild Card Weekend? Allen vs Mahomes would be amazing, but almost feels too big to bury as the last game of the weekend.

Dallas, with now a chance to win the NFC East, has changed the thought. Certain franchises — I feel — do not pay at “gimmicky” times. In essence, when you think of Dallas at home, in the playoffs, they are playing on a Sunday afternoon. So I hold serve with the NFC East loser playing the NFC South Winner on Monday night. You’re guaranteed one big market/star QB to liven up a matchup against an NFC South team.

So to conclude here are my predictions

Saturday – January 13th

(#5) Browns vs. (#4) AFC South Winner – 4:30 PM NBC/Peacock

(#6) Rams vs. (#3) Lions – 8:15 PM – Peacock

Sunday – January 14th

(#7) AFC Playoff Team vs. (#2) AFC East Winner – 1 PM on CBS/Nickelodeon/Paramount+

(#7) NFC Playoff Team vs. (#2) NFC East Winner – 4:45 PM on FOX

(#6) Bills vs. (#3) Chiefs – 8:20 PM – NBC/Peacock

Monday – January 15th

(#5) NFC East Loser vs. (#4) NFC South Winner – ABC/ESPN/ESPN2/ESPN App

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WWE’s Paul Heyman Joins the 2024 BSM Summit

“I am thrilled to share that on Wednesday March 13th in New York City, we will welcome a man who has experienced every part of the wrestling and entertainment business both on-air and behind the scenes.”

Jason Barrett

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The final few weeks leading up to the BSM Summit are my least favorite time of the entire process. Between last-minute preparations, unexpected changes, laying out a schedule that fits everyone’s schedule, giving speakers direction, and handling the creative for the banners, programs and what appears on the screen, it can be overwhelming. This event isn’t created and produced by a large organization. It’s done by BSM’s small team and a few volunteers. There is no production team. That’s me. There is no sales team. That’s Stephanie. The creative squad that brainstorms ahead of the show? That’s me peppering Dave Greene, Demetri Ravanos and Stephanie Eads with every single thing that pops into my head.

I share this because on Monday I’ll be releasing our full schedule for the 2024 BSM Summit. You’ll find it on BarrettSportsMedia.com/Summit. If you type in BSMSummit.com it will take you to that page. I’m also hoping to announce our final collection of speakers. You guys will like some of the folks coming to speak who we’ve yet to announce.

Booking this event month’s in advance could be easily done. I could execute a radio conference in my sleep. But I’m not interested in easy. I’m focused on delivering a two-day event that unites professionals across the entire media universe, many who you may never share space with again. I believe in this concept because it helps you learn, stay sharp, discover what others do to create success that you may not have thought about, and in the process, you build new connections.

Creating an event that dives into radio, podcasting, social media, newsletters, television, video execution, sales and promotions, the economic climate, and programming strategy, requires thinking outside the box and swinging for the fences. Think about it. Where else are you going to hear the CEO of a radio company one minute, two local sports talk show hosts the next, four digital executives after that, four social media superstars once they’re done, and cap it all off with discussions about business, entertainment, and the future? It may not be perfect or rolled out the way a few would prefer but it works for us. By the time we hit the stage on March 13-14, that’s when the six months of hard work pay off and the fun begins.

Speaking of fun, if you’ve been to a Summit before, you’ve heard me connect the world of sports media to professional wrestling. The battle for audience attention, understanding how to leverage social media, incorporate advertising, create interest in on-air talent, and design programming to capture ratings are something the two world’s have in common. We’ve been fortunate to have Shawn Michaels and Eric Bischoff speak at prior shows but never have we had a speaker involved who’d be part of the upcoming main event for WrestleMania.

I am thrilled to share that on Wednesday March 13th in New York City, we will welcome a man who has experienced every part of the wrestling and entertainment business both on-air and behind the scenes. It is an honor to have the great Paul Heyman joining us at this year’s Summit.

If you’re unfamiliar with Mr. Heyman, here’s the cliff notes version of what you need to know. Currently, Paul serves as the special counsel for WWE Universal Heavyweight Champion Roman Reigns. Reigns has been world champion for 1269 days, and the storyline he’s involved in (The Bloodline) has been a massive hit on television and digital for the WWE. Roman will be competing in the main event at the WWE’s largest show of the year, WrestleMania with Heyman in his corner. The event has become so big that The Rock has returned to become part of the story.

As an on-air character, Heyman is gifted in his ability to command the audience’s attention. His promos are always well thought out, well executed, and interesting. Learning about his process as a talent and what goes into creating a compelling monologue is going to be a real treat for on-air folks in the room.

In addition, Paul is an accomplished writer, executive, promoter and booker. He’s served as the lead writer for both WWE RAW and Smackdown, leading both to the top of the ratings charts. He’s also been on the other side as the leader of an underdog promotion (ECW) tasked with building a brand and competing against the top dog, WWE. Paul is also well versed in advertising having co-founded the Looking4Larry Agency, which is known for its wildly imaginative campaigns for 2K Sports, NASCAR, Smart Cups, Monster Trucks, EA Sports and the Hard Rock Hotel and Casino Las Vegas.

Talent have praised his creative ideas and ability to design and structure compelling television. Audiences have emotionally connected to his on-air commentaries, and on Wednesday March 13th, BSM Summit attendees will learn what it takes to create, cut through, and command the room’s attention when I sit down with Paul Heyman for an in-depth conversation.

A reminder, tickets for the 2024 BSM Summit are on-sale through BSMSummit.com and the BSM Store. Prices will increase on March 4th so act now and save money before it’s too late. I hope to see you in NYC in three weeks.

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Sports Broadcasts Should Remain Political-Free Zones

There’s a time and place for opinions on other things, but during a game isn’t that time or place. Be smart and think before you speak.

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A cartoon depicting political candidates talking sports
Credit: Maia Lathrop / Clarion

Political thoughts and ads are everywhere. It seems like everything these days is politicized. Sports hasn’t escaped either. Athletes take stands, some commentators have made their political positions well known too.

In this case, politics is more of a catch-all term. It doesn’t just mean Democrat or Republican, it can mean making a comment on any hot button issue in America or anywhere else. Controversies that create a public stir. We’ve had a few over the course of the last few weeks that drummed up lots of emotion and certainly could have been avoided.

The most recent example took place last weekend at the NBA All-Star Saturday on TNT. As I’m sure you know by now, Kenny Smith had some things to say about the Steph Curry/Sabrina Ionescu 3-point shootout. Such choice things as, “She should have shot it from the women’s line, that would have been a fair contest.” Ionescu more than held her own, with 26 points which would have qualified her for the men’s finals in the event. Smith’s partner Reggie Miller didn’t make things much better, when he chimed in, “According to you, you want her to be playing with dolls.” Smith’s response: “Playing with dolls is good, too.” The fallout was swift thanks to social media.

Smith went on to Stephen A. Smith’s ESPN show earlier in the week to defend his commentary. “I think it’s much ado about nothing, honestly,” Smith said, when asked about the controversy. “Most people who know basketball understood what I was talking about. Actually, I was advocating for her, more than anything else, because basketball is muscle memory. So, he practices from one range, she practices from another.” Smith further explained, “Most people just don’t check the tape, they want to just check the bait. My history and track record speaks for itself,” Smith said. “I was clueless why people thought I didn’t want equality.”

Can. Worms. Opened. I get it, social media can make things appear one way when they are intended in another. My question to Smith and Miller, why make the commentary at all in that moment? Ionescu is a terrific basketball player and shooter. Everybody knew the rules going into the exhibition, so why make a stink about it? Or, if the need outweighs the caution, how about putting some notes down on paper so that you aren’t taken out of context? There are ways to make the commentary smoother. It’s not like the event was a surprise.

Talk shows fall into a different light. That’s all about opinion and it is likely up to each individual to understand how far to push it. Hosts should know their markets and from there can figure out what may or may not work. Topics like these generally lead to more fan engagement, because everyone has an opinion. It’s up to the host or hosts to keep the topic ‘on the rails’ or it becomes a free for all.

When it comes to announcers, hosts and reporters in the industry, mistakes can happen. I get that. It’s live and sometimes thoughts can go awry. We’ve seen it countless times. My question is this, why even go there? What is the benefit? Some like to try and make a name for themselves, to be controversial just for the sake of “look at me” or “listen to me” and trying to make headlines. That’s kind of sad to me. There is more to lose than to gain in these cases.

We’ve seen cases of misspeaking and/or controversial ‘hot button’ statements made on air that have proven costly to livelihoods. One of the more recent moments took place in May 2023. Glen Kuiper and the A’s were in Kansas City and had visited the Negro Leagues Baseball Museum earlier in the day. He was discussing the visit on air when he dropped the n-word. His claim was that his pronunciation of “negro” was misheard. After an investigation, he was fired. Kuiper was one of the best local television announcers.

Before that Reds announcer Thom Brennaman was caught on a hot mic, making a homophobic remark. Brennaman was pulled from the broadcast mid-game and suspended. The Reds later told Brennaman that he would not be returning, which prompted his resignation. To his credit Brennaman owned it and is trying to improve himself as a person. He’s been forgiven by the LGBTQ+ community in Cincinnati, after he attended several meetings with leaders. They weren’t easy as he told me a couple of years ago, but he made the extreme effort.

If there’s one entity in sports broadcasting that needs to stay out of the fray, and be ‘politic proof’ it’s the sports broadcast and telecast. The booth needs to remain pure. It needs to be a sanctuary for fans and broadcasters alike. There aren’t many fans that are tuning into a baseball, basketball, football or hockey broadcast to learn about your opinions about anything else but the game. Fans look to escape that when listening to or watching a game. Sports is the place we go to forget about the real world for 3-4 hours at a time.

We all have opinions about things in the sport and out of it. Opinions about the game you are broadcasting is what you’re there for, right? For example, I can’t stand the ‘ghost runner’ at 2nd base in extra innings in Major League Baseball. It’s gimmicky and takes away from the way the game was meant to be played. Me expressing that opinion as the game heads to extras is appropriate, as long as you don’t lose track of the game. My thoughts on the Presidential race or a Senate race is inconsequential in the scope of my baseball broadcast. Be engaging to your audience about things they care about in the moment, the game.

I hate when people tell us in the industry to “stick to sports”. Nothing grates on me more. I keep thinking, oh, because I talk about sports, that’s all I know? So, all that doctors know about is medicine then, right? It’s a simple-minded criticism, but I have to say, in these cases, in a booth, we should stick to the sports aspect of things.  There’s a time and place for opinions on other things, but during a game isn’t that time or place. Be smart and think before you speak.

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Jeff Rickard Understands The Benefits of Attending the BSM Summit

“Over the past five or six years, the industry has been growing up a lot.”

Demetri Ravanos

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Jeff Rickard is one of the truly familiar faces of the BSM Summit. He’s not involved in the planning or with the company, but it’s an event he never misses.

“It went from a small group in Chicago the first year to recognition from everyone in our industry, and there’s a lot to be gained when we all get together from different markets and cities,” said Rickard of the event’s growth. “We’re not competing against each other. Instead, we’re there to bring each other ideas, lift each other up, and give each other not just support necessarily, but different ways of looking at and doing things. It allows you to kind of take some energy from another building and bring it back to your own.”

Since the BSM Summit first launched as an invite-only event, Rickard has held jobs in Indianapolis, Boston and Charlotte. In fact, it was at the 2022 Summit in New York where he had his first meeting that would lead to him taking the reins at WFNZ.

Different jobs have come with different situations. Rickard has been able to talk with fellow attendees about translators, transitions to FM, and building digital strategies. He appreciates the networking opportunities that exist at the Summit, but the access to new points of view have helped him grow as a programmer.

“Over the past five or six years, the industry has been growing up a lot,” he says. “In the last, I don’t know, three to four years, I think BSM has helped that along the way.”

The “radio is dying” narrative is a popular one. We can pretend that it only exists outside of our industry, but how many of us know someone very much inside the industry that exclusively speaks the language of doom and gloom when asked about future goals and plans? 

Rickard says that coming to the Summit is a necessity for anyone stuck in or around that mindset. Radio may not be as popular as ubiquitous as it used to be, but there is still enthusiasm for sports radio. That is something to feed off of!

“Local sports radio, if done right, will always attract an audience, because [listeners] can go to Sirius XM and they can go to ESPN and they can get the main stories of the day, and they can talk about the Chiefs winning another Super Bowl, and they can talk about if the Golden State Warriors being past their prime,” he says. “That’s all great, but if you’re in Indianapolis or Charlotte and you want to hear about respectively the Pacers or the Hornets, you know that we’re going to be talking about them. I think we’ve learned about the things that our local audience is going to want.”

Lessons Rickard has learned at past BSM Summits have had a major impact in Charlotte. WFNZ’s cume isn’t just up since he arrived. It has nearly quadrupled. 

According to Rickard, that is the result of valuing all perspectives. He’s a programmer, but that doesn’t mean he is only paying attention to sessions featuring other programmers. He also isn’t focused only on executives that could offer him the next opportunity. Rickard encourages any programmer that attends the BSM Summit to come and take notes when talent from other markets are on stage. 

“You have to realize that they’re not on a level below you. They are in large part you’re partners,” he says. “I always enjoy listening to guys that are highly successful, at those summits, talk about what motivates them, what they’re thinking about, how they go ahead and put a show together. There’s a reason we hire those talented people because they’re really good at what they do. They’re really good at attracting an audience, and they’re better at holding that audience. That’s why they’re speaking at a conference like BSM.”

Day-to-day operations are always on the minds of the people that attend the BSM Summit. When Jeff Rickard comes to New York next month though, he wants to hear conversations about the bigger picture. Whether it is from the stage or at networking events, he wants to be part of the conversations that are fundamental to the future of radio as a medium and broadcasting as a business. The one at the forefront of his mind? Audience measurement.

“We’ve been dealing with Nielsen for a long time,” he says. “There’s good, there’s bad. We all understand the system and how it works. But with so many of our listeners coming to us now through an app or coming to us by downloading what we’re doing online, they’re coming to us straight to the website. We’re starting to be able to kind of pick and choose our own numbers. We can see with certain day parts and certain guests or certain topics that, ‘wow, a lot of people checked into the app at that particular time.’ 

“So I think moving forward, the biggest thing for our industry is how do we continue to more accurately assess who our audience is and what’s really happening there on a moment to moment basis. I think we’re getting better every year, but I’m curious to see what the industry believes is the future for the next ten years, because I don’t think we’re using it now.” 

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